Tag: AI

  • How Scary Is AI Getting?

    How Scary Is AI Getting?

    The machines are not plotting our extinction in a secret bunker. The truth may be more complicated – and more troubling – than that.

    Screenshot of the WIRED article “Why So Many AI Researchers Think the Machines Could Kill Everyone,” illustrated with machines from Terminator 3.
    WIRED examines why recursive self-improvement, agentic swarms and recent security incidents are alarming researchers inside leading AI labs.

    There is an old adage in writing: you cannot make this stuff up.

    Of course, fiction writers make things up all the time. Cryptogeddon comes from my imagination. Its characters, conspiracies and crises are inventions. But the world in which I am writing it keeps producing developments that would have sounded implausible when I began.

    Over the past few weeks, the tone of the AI conversation has shifted again. Not because another chatbot can write a better email or produce a prettier picture, but because people working near the frontier are sounding genuinely frightened by what they are building.

    A recent WIRED report describes researchers worried about recursive self-improvement, autonomous agents and a loss of meaningful human control. One senior safety researcher put the possibility of AI killing everyone at greater than ten per cent within the next decade.

    That is one person’s estimate, not a scientific measurement or a consensus forecast. But it is not coming from a stranger on the street wearing an “END IS NIGH” sandwich board. It is coming from inside the industry.

    So: how scared should we be?

    The honest answer is neither not at all nor we are all doomed.

    We should be scared enough to pay attention.

    Why This Looks Different From Where I Sit

    Cisco AI Defense webpage describing comprehensive security for enterprises building and using artificial intelligence.
    My work with Cisco AI Defense puts me inside the challenge of securing the models, applications, data and infrastructure that make up an AI system.

    I have spent much of my professional life thinking about what happens when technology, people and risk collide.

    I have worked in cybersecurity for decades, including serving as a CISO. Today, my work with Cisco AI Defense puts me deep inside the security problems created when organizations connect increasingly capable AI systems to their data, applications and infrastructure.

    That experience changes how I read stories about AI risk.

    My first question is not whether a machine has become conscious, malevolent or secretly ambitious. It is usually much less cinematic:

    • What access was it given?
    • What objective was it pursuing?
    • How was that objective bounded?
    • What assumptions did the people deploying it make?
    • What happened when one control failed?
    • Was anyone actually watching what the system did next?

    Cybersecurity has taught us repeatedly that catastrophic outcomes rarely require a single, all-powerful adversary. They emerge from combinations: excessive permissions, misunderstood dependencies, poor configuration, weak monitoring, competitive pressure and humans assuming that someone else has accounted for the risk.

    AI does not replace those familiar problems.

    It adds speed, scale, autonomy and unpredictability to them.

    That is the lens through which I approach this subject professionally – and the same lens that shapes the world of Cryptogeddon.

    The Future Is Leaking Into the Present

    AI 2027 website presenting a scenario about superhuman AI, autonomous agents and rapidly accelerating capabilities.
    AI 2027 turns abstract concerns about automated AI research and recursive improvement into a detailed – and increasingly uncomfortable – scenario.

    The most dramatic concern is recursive self-improvement: AI systems helping to design, train or improve their successors, thereby accelerating AI research itself.

    The fear is not simply that the next model will be better. It is that AI development could become a feedback loop moving faster than human institutions can understand, govern or interrupt.

    That remains a forecast, not an accomplished fact. No frontier laboratory claims to have created a fully autonomous system that can improve itself indefinitely. The timeline is uncertain, and confident predictions about artificial general intelligence have a long history of being wrong.

    But uncertainty cuts in both directions.

    It does not mean the danger is imaginary. It means we do not know how much time we have – or how reliable our controls will be when capabilities change.

    The authors of AI 2027 tried to make that abstract concern concrete. Their scenario imagines AI research becoming increasingly automated, competition intensifying and oversight failing to keep pace.

    It is not prophecy, and its authors explicitly say it depicts only one possible future. Its value is that it forces us to examine the chain of events rather than arguing vaguely about whether “superintelligence” will be good or bad.

    Parts of that imagined chain no longer feel very distant.

    AI Has Already Crossed Boundaries

    Anthropic Research webpage showing its alignment, interpretability, frontier red-team and AI-safety research areas.
    Anthropic’s research spans alignment, interpretability, societal impacts and frontier testing—including its investigation of Claude models gaining unauthorized access to real systems.

    In September, Anthropic published an assessment of four cybersecurity incidents involving different Claude models.

    During controlled security evaluations, the systems were supposed to attack fictional targets. A configuration error left them connected to the real internet. The models then gained unauthorized access to real third-party systems.

    These were not malicious AIs pursuing some independent plan for world domination.

    Anthropic found no evidence that agents coordinated with one another, developed goals beyond their assigned task or tried to evade oversight. The systems were pursuing the objectives humans had given them in an environment whose safeguards had failed.

    That is an important distinction.

    It is also not especially comforting.

    Anthropic concluded that the models displayed biased reasoning and recklessness: they interpreted ambiguous evidence in ways that justified continuing their task, even when their actions could cause real harm. In one case, the same flawed reasoning also persuaded a monitoring system that the activity was simulated.

    This is the version of AI risk that concerns me most – not a machine suddenly becoming evil, but a powerful system pursuing a poorly bounded objective with speed, persistence and access that humans cannot match.

    From a security perspective, the incident has a painfully familiar shape:

    1. A test environment was incorrectly configured.
    2. A powerful tool received access it was not supposed to have.
    3. The scope of the exercise was insufficiently constrained.
    4. The system continued pursuing its assigned objective.
    5. Monitoring did not reliably recognize the resulting harm.

    Any one of those conditions might have been manageable. Together, they allowed a controlled exercise to reach real systems.

    Now add an agent that can operate for hours, write code, discover vulnerabilities and rationalize why it should continue.

    No sentience is required.

    One Agent Is a Problem. What About Forty-Five?

    Dozens of coordinated AI agents examine multiple software systems and share their findings through a central network.
    AI agents can already operate in parallel, coordinate their work and search continuously for vulnerabilities.

    Anthropic has also been studying emerging multi-agent systems.

    In one experiment, researchers gave 45 agents their own virtual machines and a shared forum, then asked them to collaborate on finding vulnerabilities in open-source software. The swarm found hundreds of vulnerabilities over an extended run.

    That can be enormously useful.

    Defenders could use the same capability to find and repair weaknesses before criminals exploit them. AI can help security teams examine more code, investigate alerts faster and find relationships that would otherwise be missed.

    Attackers can use it too.

    The significance is not that AI has spontaneously formed a mob. It is that humans can now assemble persistent, coordinated groups of machine agents at a scale and speed that were previously impractical. Once deployed, those systems may also behave in ways their operators did not anticipate.

    Cybersecurity has always been asymmetric: a defender must protect everything, while an attacker needs one opening. AI may magnify that imbalance by making reconnaissance, vulnerability discovery, exploitation and adaptation cheaper and faster.

    And the capability is reaching below the software layer.

    Anthropic recently reported that an AI system improved known attacks against experimental cryptographic algorithms. The work did not break the encryption protecting today’s banking or email, and it should not be presented as if it did.

    But one result improved an attack against a post-quantum signature candidate that had already survived two years of expert review. Another accelerated an attack against a deliberately reduced version of AES.

    This is legitimate, valuable research. Finding weaknesses is how cryptography becomes stronger.

    It is also a demonstration that increasingly autonomous AI can contribute to highly specialized offensive research once reserved for expert humans.

    Capability does not care which side uses it.

    The Problem Is Not Just the Model

    An AI cybersecurity test environment connects through a misconfigured boundary to external computer systems.
    The system did not escape from a perfect enclosure. The enclosure was never as isolated as people assumed.

    One of the recurring mistakes in conversations about AI safety is treating the model as though it exists in isolation.

    An AI system becomes much more consequential when it is connected to tools, proprietary data, source-code repositories, cloud infrastructure, identity systems and other agents. Its risk depends not only on what the model knows, but on what the surrounding system allows it to do.

    This is where AI security becomes an architectural problem.

    Organizations need to understand which models are being used, what data reaches them, which tools they can invoke, how their behaviour is monitored and what happens when they act outside the expected path. Traditional controls still matter, but they must be adapted to systems that reason, generate and act.

    That is also why AI safety cannot be reduced to teaching a model to refuse a dangerous question. A refusal is one control. It is not a security architecture.

    The more agency we give these systems, the more we need defence in depth: constrained permissions, isolation, testing, monitoring, human approval for consequential actions and the ability to stop behaviour that was not anticipated.

    The challenge is that capability is moving quickly while the practices for securing it are still being built.

    The People Building It Want the Ability to Slow Down

    In July, more than 1,300 employees of frontier AI companies signed Pacing the Frontier, calling for international mechanisms that could deliberately slow automated AI development if the risks demanded it.

    The signatories include senior figures from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta and other leading laboratories.

    Their argument identifies a brutal incentive problem.

    A laboratory may believe that slowing down is prudent while also believing that it cannot afford to let a competitor – or another country – move ahead. Everyone can recognize the danger and still keep racing toward it.

    This is why voluntary promises are not enough. It is also why simple calls to “stop AI” are unlikely to work. The technology offers too much economic, scientific and military advantage.

    The question is whether governments and companies can build credible evaluation, monitoring, containment and coordination mechanisms before a crisis forces them to improvise.

    The International AI Safety Report 2026 gives this concern broader weight. Led by Yoshua Bengio and written by more than 100 experts with an advisory panel nominated by over 30 countries and international organizations, it reviews malicious use, technical failures and systemic risks.

    Its conclusion is not that catastrophe is certain. It is that capabilities are advancing quickly, real-world evidence of harm is accumulating and important safeguards remain unproven against sophisticated attacks.

    That is the sober version of the warning.

    We do not need to accept the most apocalyptic scenario to agree that the safety margin is thin.

    So, Will AI Kill Everyone?

    Screenshot of the WIRED article “Why So Many AI Researchers Think the Machines Could Kill Everyone,” illustrated with machines from Terminator 3.
    WIRED examines why recursive self-improvement, agentic swarms and recent security incidents are alarming researchers inside leading AI labs.

    Probably the wrong question.

    It encourages us to choose between ridicule and panic. If extinction is not imminent, we tell ourselves everything is fine. If it is possible, we jump directly to Terminator imagery and lose sight of the practical decisions in front of us.

    There is an enormous spectrum of harm between a hallucinated answer and the end of humanity.

    AI can amplify fraud and disinformation. It can discover and exploit vulnerabilities. It can lower the expertise required to conduct sophisticated attacks. It can make consequential decisions at machine speed. It can behave recklessly when instructions, incentives and safeguards do not align. It can concentrate power in a small number of companies and governments.

    None of that requires consciousness, hatred or a secret desire to replace us.

    The existential question still matters. A low-probability event that ends civilization deserves attention even if nobody can assign it a trustworthy percentage.

    But the strongest reason to take AI safety seriously is not that we know the machines will kill us.

    It is that we are building systems with growing autonomy, imperfectly understood behaviour and access to real infrastructure – and placing them inside a global race whose participants believe they cannot afford to pause.

    That is frightening enough.

    And Yes, It Is Excellent Material

    A left-handed writer develops a fictional cyber scenario beside monitors displaying AI security architecture and threats.
    My professional work asks how these systems can be secured. The novelist in me asks what happens when all the controls fail at once.

    As someone who has spent decades in cybersecurity, I find these developments alarming. My current work in AI security makes them impossible to dismiss as somebody else’s distant problem.

    As the author of Cryptogeddon, I also cannot look away.

    Near-future fiction lives in the narrow space between what exists and what might plausibly happen next. That space is shrinking. Ideas I once would have used to make the novel feel speculative now appear in research papers and incident reports before I can finish writing them.

    My professional work helps me see how the pieces fit together: not only what a new AI system can do in a demonstration, but what might happen when it meets real networks, imperfect controls, organizational pressure and human fallibility.

    Then the novelist in me asks the next question:

    What happens when all of those things fail at once?

    There is a strange bargain in that. The world keeps making the subject more urgent while making the fiction harder to outrun.

    I wish some of this material were less plausible.

    But I would be lying if I said it did not make me want to write faster.

    Sources and Further Reading

  • Where AI Fits Into My Writing Process – and Where It Doesn’t

    Where AI Fits Into My Writing Process – and Where It Doesn’t

    I use AI in almost everything I write. That does not mean AI does the writing.

    A writer works by hand at a desk while digital research, historical sources, maps and cybersecurity diagrams surround him.
    AI can surround the writing process without becoming the writer.

    I use artificial intelligence in almost everything I write – but probably not in the way people assume.

    That sentence requires some explanation, because “I use AI” has become almost meaningless.

    It can mean asking a search engine for help finding a source. It can mean using a chatbot to challenge an argument or organize research. It can also mean entering a prompt, receiving several thousand words and publishing them under your own name.

    Those are not the same thing.

    So, before I describe my process, I want to draw the most important line clearly:

    AI does not write my books. Every word in my manuscripts is my own.

    I use AI while researching Cryptogeddon, Holy Wars and other projects. I use it to explore technologies, interrogate ideas, identify gaps in my knowledge and find sources worth reading. But when it is time to write the book, I write it.

    My blog workflow is somewhat more flexible. A weekly article has a different purpose, lifespan and production cycle than a novel. AI may help me organize the argument, test structures, identify repetition or refine a difficult passage. Even there, however, I am not asking it to invent a subject and then publishing whatever comes back.

    AI participates in the process. It does not own the work.

    Here is what that actually looks like.

    The Process Begins Before AI

    My writing rarely begins with a prompt.

    It begins with something that catches my attention: a book, a news story, an historical question, a development in cybersecurity, an experience at the gaming table or an idea that refuses to leave me alone.

    I capture those thoughts in Apple Notes. Some are only a sentence. Others grow into collections of links, quotations, questions and fragments. Most never become finished pieces at all.

    Before I involve AI, I try to know at least three things:

    1. What am I curious about?
    2. Why does it matter to me?
    3. What question am I trying to answer?

    Those decisions need to come from me. Otherwise, I am not using AI to develop an idea. I am asking it to supply one.

    That may produce content. It is unlikely to produce anything only I could have written.

    Stage One: Mapping the Territory

    Once I have a subject, I often use AI to help me understand its shape.

    Suppose I am researching a technology for Cryptogeddon. I may begin with broad questions:

    • How does this system work?
    • What would have to go wrong for it to fail?
    • Who controls it?
    • What assumptions does it depend upon?
    • How might an attacker abuse it?
    • What secondary consequences am I overlooking?
    • What terminology should I understand before researching further?

    The purpose is not to collect prose for the manuscript. It is to improve my mental model of the subject.

    AI is particularly good at revealing the structure of an unfamiliar field. It can identify major concepts, show how they relate and suggest questions I would not have known to ask. That makes it a useful starting point.

    But a starting point is not a source.

    A writer examines an interconnected wall of historical documents, maps, cybersecurity systems and research questions.
    AI helps me map unfamiliar territory, identify connections and discover better questions.

    Stage Two: Moving From Answers to Sources

    Language models are dangerously good at sounding authoritative.

    They can present established fact, reasonable inference and complete invention in exactly the same confident tone. A polished answer can be helpful, but fluency is not evidence.

    My research loop therefore looks like this:

    1. Ask AI to help map the subject.
    2. Identify the claims that matter.
    3. Find the original or most authoritative sources.
    4. Read those sources myself.
    5. Compare competing interpretations.
    6. Ask better follow-up questions.
    7. Keep only what the evidence supports.

    For technology and cybersecurity, that may mean technical documentation, research papers, incident reports or reporting from sources I trust. For Holy Wars, it may mean historical scholarship, primary accounts and competing interpretations of the same event.

    The AI conversation helps me navigate. The sources determine what I can responsibly claim.

    My rule is simple:

    AI can help me discover a claim. It cannot be the authority for that claim.

    Stage Three: Using AI to Create Friction

    The most valuable thing AI gives me is not an answer. It is resistance.

    Once I have developed an idea, I can ask the machine to attack it:

    • What is the strongest objection?
    • Which assumption is doing too much work?
    • What evidence would weaken my conclusion?
    • Am I confusing correlation with causation?
    • Which stakeholder am I ignoring?
    • Is this genuinely plausible, or merely convenient for the story?
    • What would an informed critic say?

    This is especially useful because writers become attached to their own ideas. After enough time with an argument or story, it becomes difficult to see what we have assumed rather than established.

    AI does not eliminate that problem, and its criticism is not automatically correct. But it can create enough distance for me to reconsider something I had begun treating as settled.

    Sometimes I reject its objection. Sometimes I return to the research. Occasionally, it exposes a weakness that changes the direction of the work.

    The decision remains mine, but it is a better-tested decision.

    Stage Four: The Process Splits

    This is where my book and blog workflows become different.

    For books

    Research, questions, timelines and technical explorations may all involve AI. The manuscript does not.

    When I move from research into scenes, narration, dialogue and chapters, I write the words myself. That boundary is deliberate.

    A novel is more than an efficient delivery system for a plot. Its language carries the author’s sensibility: what receives attention, what remains unsaid, how a character is judged, where a sentence accelerates and where it pauses. Those decisions accumulate into voice.

    I do not want to outsource that discovery.

    I may later use tools to help locate inconsistencies or interrogate whether some technical element is believable. But I do not ask AI to generate chapters for me, rewrite my prose in bulk or manufacture a voice I can claim as my own.

    Every sentence in the book has to pass through my mind and my hands.

    For blog posts

    A weekly blog operates on a shorter cycle. I am often responding to something timely, developing an argument in public or sharing work in progress.

    Here I may use AI more directly as an editorial tool. Depending on the article, I might ask it to:

    • compare two possible outlines;
    • suggest a clearer order for ideas I have already assembled;
    • identify repetition;
    • flag an unsupported leap;
    • show where a reader might misunderstand me;
    • test alternative headlines;
    • or help tighten a passage that is not working.

    That is closer to an extended editorial conversation than manuscript generation.

    The topic, underlying argument, personal perspective and final judgment still have to be mine. I decide what the article says. I decide which suggestions are useful. And I remain responsible for every sentence published under my name.

    The distinction is not that books are sacred while blogs do not matter. It is that the tools are allowed closer to the prose in one workflow than in the other – and even there, they remain tools.

    Stage Five: Knowing When AI Is Making the Work Worse

    AI has a gravitational pull toward competent blandness.

    It likes orderly explanations, symmetrical lists and conclusions that neatly restate whatever came before. It can turn an awkward but interesting thought into a polished paragraph that sounds like it could have been written by anyone.

    That is useful when clarity is the problem. It is destructive when the awkwardness contains the writer’s voice.

    There are warning signs that AI is getting in the way:

    • the writing becomes smoother but less specific;
    • every argument acquires an artificial balance;
    • uncertainty is replaced with a tidy lesson;
    • the same phrases and rhythms begin appearing repeatedly;
    • the prose explains things the reader already understands;
    • or the article sounds finished before I have decided what I think.

    That last danger may be the most serious.

    Writing is partly how I discover what I believe. If I accept a polished formulation before doing the underlying thinking, I may end up with something coherent that is not actually mine.

    The struggle to articulate an idea is not wasted motion. Often, it is where the insight comes from.

    Stage Six: The Final Human Pass

    Before anything is published, I want to be able to answer several questions:

    • Is this accurate?
    • Do I believe it?
    • Does it sound like me?
    • Is there something specific here, or only a competent summary?
    • Have I distinguished fact from inference?
    • Am I saying anything I would be unwilling to defend?
    • Does every sentence earn the right to carry my name?

    AI cannot answer those questions for me because they are not simply questions about text quality.

    They are questions about authorship.

    The final decision to publish is not a mechanical checkpoint at the end of the pipeline. It is the point at which I accept responsibility for the work.

    What AI Is – and Is Not – in My Writing

    If I reduce the process to its simplest form, AI plays four useful roles:

    1. Research guide – helping me map unfamiliar territory and locate questions worth pursuing.
    2. Sceptical reader – testing assumptions, arguments and plausibility.
    3. Organizational tool – helping me compare structures and manage complicated material.
    4. Editorial assistant – identifying repetition, ambiguity and weak transitions, particularly in shorter work.

    What it is not is the novelist.

    It does not create the pages of Cryptogeddon. It does not choose the language of Holy Wars. It does not decide what my characters fear, what they value or what their choices mean. It does not turn personal experience into something I can falsely claim to have written.

    AI can help me arrive at the blank page better informed, more thoroughly challenged and with a clearer sense of what I am trying to accomplish.

    Then I have to write.

    When the Research Starts Resembling the Fiction

    A thriller writer looks from sketches of AI systems and autonomous networks toward a city where similar technologies are becoming real.
    For a near-future writer, the distance between research and fiction is getting uncomfortably small.

    Lately, AI has begun playing one more role in my writing process: subject matter.

    There is an old expression that reality is stranger than fiction. For someone writing a near-future cyberthriller, that is becoming less an observation than a weekly professional hazard.

    I imagine autonomous systems, coordinated cyberattacks and institutions struggling to control technologies they barely understand. Then I return to the research and discover events uncomfortably close to what I had imagined.

    It is getting harder to invent an AI future that does not begin arriving before I finish the draft.

    That is unsettling.

    It is also irresistible material.

    Next week, in The Cryptogeddon Briefing, I am going to look at some of those recent developments – and ask a question that no longer sounds quite as melodramatic as it once did:

    How scary is AI getting?

  • Building a Creative Ecosystem

    Building a Creative Ecosystem

    How I’m building a sustainable creative system for writing books, blogging, and sharing ideas through ToddHDow Studios.

    The ToddHDow Studios Creative Toolkit.
    The ToddHDow Studios Creative Toolkit.

    People often imagine writing as the moment someone sits down in front of a blank page.

    The truth is, that’s only the visible part of the process.

    Writing begins long before the first sentence is typed.

    It begins with a conversation. A book. A question. A walk. A podcast. A news article. A half-formed idea scribbled into a notes app while standing in line for coffee.

    I’ve spent a surprising amount of time over the past year thinking not just about what I want to write, but how I want to write. As ToddHDow Studios has grown, I’ve realized that building a sustainable creative life has much less to do with finding the perfect software and much more to do with building a system that keeps ideas moving.

    I’m still refining that system, but I thought it might be interesting to pull back the curtain and share how it works today.

    Building Worlds

    A wide cinematic collage blending Cryptogeddon, Holy Wars, Book of Dow, TTRPGs and my writing.

    ToddHDow Studios is home to everything I create.

    Some of those ideas become weekly blog posts. Others are slowly evolving into books. Some may never become either, and that’s okay too. Not every idea needs to become a finished project.

    The four worlds I’ve chosen to focus on – Cryptogeddon, Holy Wars, The Book of Dow, and TTRPGs – give my curiosity somewhere to live. The Writer’s Notebook is where I step back from those worlds and talk about the creative process itself.

    At first glance, cybersecurity, medieval and colonial history, writing, and tabletop gaming don’t seem to have much in common.

    To me, they’re connected by the same thread.

    They’re all worlds built on strategy, conflict & consequence.

    Some ideas are ready to share almost immediately. Others need years to mature before they’re ready to become books. The destination changes, but the creative process is surprisingly similar.

    Removing the Daily Decision

    One lesson I’ve learned is that creative energy is limited.

    If every Saturday morning begins with the question, “What should I write today?”, I’ve already wasted energy making a decision that didn’t need to exist.

    Instead, I created a simple publishing rhythm.

    • Week One: The Cryptogeddon Briefing
    • Week Two: Holy Wars Journal
    • Week Three: Book of Dow: The Archive
    • Week Four: Campaign Chronicles
    • Week Five: The Writer’s Notebook

    Every week, I also publish The ToddHDow Dispatch, my newsletter that ties everything together.

    Over time, I’ve settled into a publishing rhythm that works well for both me and my readers. New blog posts are published on Saturdays. The following Monday, I send The ToddHDow Dispatch, introducing that week’s post, sharing what I’m reading, highlighting anything new across ToddHDow Studios, and offering a preview of what’s coming next.

    But that’s not where the process ends. Throughout the week, I continue the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, X and LinkedIn, sharing quotes, images, behind-the-scenes thoughts, and stories inspired by the article. Rather than treating social media as advertising, I see it as another way to explore ideas, connect with readers, and invite people into the worlds I’m building.

    Every idea follows a similar lifecycle: capture, research, write, publish, share, then move on to the next one. Having that predictable rhythm means I spend less time wondering what to do next and more time actually creating.

    Like everything else in my workflow, the schedule isn’t about rigid rules. It’s about creating a sustainable rhythm that lets me keep showing up, week after week.

    That schedule keeps my blog moving forward while giving my longer writing projects room to develop in the background. Blog posts may be measured in days, while books are measured in months—or more likely, years—but both benefit from showing up consistently.

    Sometimes the best creative decision is removing decisions altogether.

    Following an Idea

    The ToddHDow Studios Creative Ecosystem.
    The ToddHDow Studios Creative Ecosystem.

    People sometimes ask how I go from an idea to something I publish.

    The answer is… slowly.

    Almost everything begins in Apple Notes.

    Ideas arrive at strange times, and I’ve learned not to trust my memory. Whether it’s a thought for a Holy Wars article, a scene for a future novel, or a question I want to explore, it gets captured before it disappears.

    From there, I research.

    I read.

    I ask questions.

    I sketch outlines.

    Sometimes I brainstorm with ChatGPT – not because I want it to write for me, but because it’s an excellent thinking partner. I’ll ask it to challenge an argument, suggest different ways to organize an article, or point out places where my reasoning isn’t as clear as I thought it was.

    Eventually, the path splits.

    If the idea is timely, it usually becomes a blog post. I’ll draft it, revise it, prepare images, format everything in WordPress, build the newsletter in Mailchimp, and publish it.

    If the idea has deeper roots, it usually moves into Apple Pages, where it becomes part of a much longer project. Books don’t care about weekly publishing schedules. They ask for patience instead.

    Different destinations.

    The same creative engine.

    Sharing the Conversation

    Publishing a post isn’t actually the end of the process.

    It’s the beginning of another one.

    Every article gets its own newsletter, but it also becomes the foundation for posts and stories across Facebook, Instagram, X and LinkedIn over the following days. Sometimes that’s a quote that stands on its own. Sometimes it’s a single image. Sometimes it’s a behind-the-scenes thought that didn’t make the final article.

    I don’t think of social media as marketing.

    I think of it as continuing the conversation with readers who may never visit my website otherwise.

    In many ways, a finished blog post isn’t the final product.

    It’s the source material for everything that follows.

    Chasing the Perfect Tool

    The ToddHDow Studios Creative Toolkit.
    The ToddHDow Studios Creative Toolkit.

    If there’s one rabbit hole I’ve fallen into more times than I’d like to admit, it’s searching for the perfect writing software.

    Should I use Word?

    Pages?

    Scrivener?

    Ulysses?

    Obsidian?

    Google Docs?

    Something else entirely?

    The answer, I’ve discovered, is that none of them actually solve the problem.

    Software doesn’t create discipline.

    It simply supports it.

    Today my workflow uses a collection of tools because each one does something well.

    Apple Notes captures ideas before they’re forgotten.

    Pages is where my longer writing currently lives.

    Gemini Notebook (formerly NotebookLM) helps me organize and understand research.

    ChatGPT helps me brainstorm, edit, and think through problems.

    WordPress and Mailchimp help me share finished work with readers.

    Together, these tools form a pipeline rather than a collection of disconnected apps. Ideas flow naturally from one stage of the creative process to the next.

    One thing that surprised me while writing this article was realizing just how long some of these tools have been part of my life.

    ToddHDow.com has been running on WordPress for more than twenty years. If you browse my archive, you’ll find posts dating all the way back to December 2005. Mailchimp has been part of my workflow for well over a decade too. My very first subscriber – appropriately enough – was me, back on October 15, 2012.

    Looking back, I’m grateful that “past Todd” chose tools that proved reliable enough to grow alongside me.

    Those tools may or may not change someday.

    The habit of creating is the part I hope never does.

    Reading Is Part of Writing

    My bookshelf
    My bookshelf

    People often ask about my writing habits.

    Far fewer ask about my reading habits.

    The truth is they’re impossible to separate.

    Every book I read becomes part of my creative toolbox.

    History feeds Holy Wars.

    Cybersecurity and emerging technology shape Cryptogeddon.

    Stephen King constantly reminds me how powerful voice can be.

    Brandon Sanderson demonstrates the importance of structure, planning, and worldbuilding.

    Neal Stephenson encourages me to think bigger, research deeper, and ask more ambitious questions.

    Even books that seem completely unrelated to whatever I’m working on have a way of influencing what comes next.

    I’ve stopped thinking of reading as something that competes with writing.

    Reading is writing preparation.

    Still Learning

    One thing I’ve become comfortable admitting is that I don’t have this all figured out.

    My workflow changes.

    My software changes.

    My routines evolve.

    Every project teaches me something new.

    That’s part of the reason I wanted to create The Writer’s Notebook in the first place.

    Not because I have all the answers.

    Because I enjoy exploring the questions.

    Final Thoughts

    When I first imagined becoming a writer, I thought success depended on inspiration.

    Today, I think it depends on something much quieter: building an environment where inspiration has somewhere to go.

    For me, that environment is made up of habits as much as technology. Reading sparks new ideas. Apple Notes captures them before they’re forgotten. ChatGPT and NotebookLM help me explore and challenge them. Pages gives my books room to grow. WordPress, Mailchimp and my socials help me share finished work with readers. My publishing cadence keeps everything moving forward, one project at a time.

    None of those tools writes for me.

    None of them can replace curiosity, discipline, or creativity.

    But together they remove friction, helping me spend less time wondering how to create and more time actually creating.

    Perhaps that’s the systems engineer in me. After decades working in technology and cybersecurity, I’ve developed an instinct for choosing tools that are stable, reliable, secure, scalable, and well-supported – tools I can trust to grow with me instead of forcing me to start over every few years. The best technology quietly fades into the background, allowing the work itself to take centre stage.

    Looking back, I’m grateful that “past Todd” made some good decisions. WordPress has been home to ToddHDow.com for more than twenty years. Mailchimp has been part of my workflow for well over a decade. Those choices gave me continuity, allowing me to focus on creating instead of constantly rebuilding.

    That’s ultimately what this ecosystem is designed to do. Every tool, every habit, every book I read, every note I capture, every conversation I have with ChatGPT, every newsletter I send, and every social post I publish serves the same purpose: reducing friction so I can spend more time thinking, writing, and building worlds.

    Because in the end, writing isn’t about finding the perfect tool.

    It’s about building a life that keeps you curious enough to have something worth writing about.

  • Preparing for Game Night: Inside My DM Prep Process

    Preparing for Game Night: Inside My DM Prep Process

    My writing setup. This is where I do the bulk of my writing. My desk overlooks our beautiful backyard. In the summer, it is a forest of trees and greenery. In the winter, the leaves all disappear and I get a great view of our large backyard. I like the winter view better because without the tree cover, I am often able to catch glimpses of rabbits and deer wandering through our backyard.
    My writing setup. This is where I do the bulk of my writing. My desk overlooks our beautiful backyard. In the summer, it is a forest of trees and greenery. In the winter, the leaves all disappear and I get a great view of our large backyard. I like the winter view better because without the tree cover, I am often able to catch glimpses of rabbits and deer wandering through our backyard.

    One of the questions I get asked most often is surprisingly simple:

    “How much prep do you actually do before a session?”

    The honest answer?

    Less than I used to.

    That probably sounds strange coming from someone who loves worldbuilding, campaign design, and collecting maps, books, miniatures, and terrain. But over the last year or so I’ve realized that good prep isn’t about creating more material – it’s about creating the right material.

    The players are going to surprise me anyway.

    My job isn’t to predict everything they’ll do. My job is to know the world well enough that I can respond naturally when they inevitably wander off the path I expected.

    Here’s what my preparation process looks like before most game nights.

    NotebookLM summary of a recent D&D adventure session
    NotebookLM summary of a recent D&D adventure session.

    Step 1: Review the Last Session (if there was one)

    I never begin by opening my adventure book.

    Instead, I revisit what happened last session.

    One of the biggest improvements to my workflow has been recording my games and uploading them into NotebookLM. It transcribes the session, removes most of the table chatter, and gives me a surprisingly accurate summary of everything that happened. (I will definitely write more about this whole process in a future blog post!)

    Sometimes I’ll ask questions like:

    • What NPC promises are still unresolved?
    • Which plot hooks did the players ignore?
    • What clues did they discover?
    • Which character moments seemed important?

    It’s remarkable how often players accidentally create future story threads that I hadn’t planned.

    Those become some of the best parts of the campaign.

    Shadows of Sithicus D&D Encounter
    Shadows of Sithicus D&D Encounter

    Step 2: Decide What Matters

    I don’t prepare five different adventures.

    I prepare the one that’s most likely.

    If the party is halfway through Death House, that’s where my attention goes.

    If they’re travelling toward the Misty Forest, I prepare the Misty Forest.

    If there’s a reasonable chance they’ll completely derail the session…

    … I spend a little time preparing that possibility too.

    Experience has taught me that trying to prepare every possible outcome is impossible.

    Preparing the most probable outcome – and understanding the world around it – is far more effective.

    Step 3: Brainstorm with AI

    This is probably where my process has changed the most of the last year.

    I use AI extensively—not to replace my creativity, but to challenge it.

    I’ll ask questions like:

    • What motivations would this NPC realistically have?
    • Give me five encounter ideas that fit this location.
    • What clues would make this mystery more satisfying?

    Most of the suggestions never make it into the game.

    But one good idea out of twenty is worth the conversation.

    It’s like having another experienced Dungeon Master sitting beside me while I prep.

    Canvas maps and a Devil's playground.
    Canvas maps and a Devil’s playground.

    Step 4: Build the Table Experience

    This is the fun part.

    I’ll gather whatever I need for the session:

    • Maps
    • Miniatures
    • Terrain
    • Handouts
    • Letters
    • Props
    • Music
    • Ambient sound

    I’m a big believer that immersion comes from lots of small details rather than one expensive centerpiece.

    A weathered letter with a wax seal.

    A faded map.

    The right soundtrack.

    A miniature that perfectly represents the villain.

    None of these things are essential.

    Together, they make the world feel real.

    Step 5: Review the Rules

    Every session has one or two mechanics that deserve a refresher.

    Maybe a monster with unusual legendary actions.

    Maybe a spell interaction I haven’t seen in months.

    Maybe grappling.

    I don’t try to memorize every rule in D&D.

    Instead, I identify the handful of rules that are likely to matter in my next game.

    That dramatically reduces the number of pauses during play.

    The prep ends here. From this moment on, the players decide where the story goes, and I simply follow their lead—one decision, one surprise, and one dice roll at a time.
    The prep ends here. From this moment on, the players decide where the story goes, and I simply follow their lead—one decision, one surprise, and one dice roll at a time.

    Step 6: Prepare to Improvise

    This might sound contradictory after everything I’ve just described.

    But the goal of preparation isn’t to avoid improvisation.

    It’s to improvise with confidence.

    Once I know:

    • the NPCs,
    • the locations,
    • the motivations,
    • the likely encounters,
    • and the important rules,

    I’m comfortable throwing my notes aside if the players decide to do something unexpected.

    And they always do.

    Some of our most memorable sessions have come from moments I never could have prepared for.

    My Actual Prep Time

    People often imagine Dungeon Masters spending twenty hours every week preparing.

    Sometimes that’s true.

    Usually it isn’t.

    A typical weekly prep session for me looks something like this:

    • 20 minutes reviewing last session
    • 30 minutes brainstorming ideas
    • 30 minutes preparing encounters
    • 20 minutes gathering maps and assets
    • 20 minutes reviewing rules

    Roughly two hours.

    Some weeks it’s less.

    Some weeks—especially before major story arcs—it can be considerably more.

    But consistency beats marathon prep sessions every time.

    Dice. Maps. Miniatures. Character sheets. A laptop full of plans. Every session starts with the same tools - but no two adventures ever unfold the same way.
    Dice. Maps. Miniatures. Character sheets. A laptop full of plans. Every session starts with the same tools – but no two adventures ever unfold the same way.

    The Real Secret

    The biggest lesson I’ve learned isn’t about AI.

    It isn’t about terrain.

    It isn’t about miniatures.

    It isn’t even about preparation.

    It’s about trusting your players.

    Players don’t remember perfectly balanced encounters.

    They don’t remember every stat block.

    They remember impossible choices.

    Unexpected victories.

    Hilarious failures.

    The NPC who somehow became their favourite character despite only appearing for five minutes.

    That’s the magic we’re trying to create.

    Everything else is just preparation for those moments.

    What’s Next?

    Over the next few months I’ll be sharing more behind-the-scenes looks at how I run games, the tools I’m experimenting with, AI workflows that have genuinely improved my prep, and lessons I’ve learned from both successful sessions and spectacular failures.

    If you’re a Dungeon Master – or you’re thinking about becoming one – I hope some of these ideas help make your own game nights just a little easier to run.

    And if your players completely derail your carefully prepared session next week…

    Welcome to the club.

    And lastly, what did I miss? If I’ve overlooked anything, please do share in the comments below!

  • The Quiet Miracles of AI

    The Quiet Miracles of AI

    The Quiet Miracles of AI

    “Technology is a useful servant but a dangerous master.”
    — Christian Lous Lange

    This week’s Cryptogeddon Briefing is a little different.

    Normally, this space is where I explore the technologies, cyber threats, geopolitical shifts, and emerging ideas that inspire my writing—and, ultimately, the world of Cryptogeddon. Most weeks, that means discussing artificial intelligence in the context of cybersecurity, autonomous systems, espionage, or the changing balance of power between nations.

    This week, though, I found myself thinking about AI from a very different perspective.

    The idea came after a conversation over dinner.

    The topic of artificial intelligence came up, and as it so often does these days, opinions around the table were mixed. Some people were optimistic. Others were skeptical. The concerns were familiar: AI-generated artwork replacing artists, copyright, deepfakes, misinformation, job displacement, and the growing uncertainty surrounding where this technology is taking us.

    They’re fair concerns.

    In fact, they’re concerns I share.

    Like every transformative technology before it, artificial intelligence will undoubtedly be used for both good and bad. It will create incredible opportunities while introducing entirely new risks. Pretending otherwise would be naïve.

    But as I listened to the discussion, I couldn’t help thinking about another side of AI—one that rarely dominates headlines or social media debates.

    It reminded me that while we spend enormous amounts of time asking what AI might take away from us, we spend surprisingly little time asking what it might give us.


    That thought brought me to my daughter.

    “The good physician treats the disease; the great physician treats the patient who has the disease.”
    — Sir William Osler

    She has cystic fibrosis.

    If you’ve never known someone with CF, it’s a genetic disease caused by mutations in the CFTR gene. Those mutations disrupt how salt and water move through cells, producing the thick mucus that damages the lungs and digestive system. For decades, treatment focused primarily on managing symptoms: daily physiotherapy, inhaled medications, repeated courses of antibiotics, and frequent hospital stays whenever infections became severe.

    When my daughter was born, there was hope—but there were also countless unanswered questions.

    Researchers had identified the genetic cause of the disease, but understanding exactly how hundreds—and eventually thousands—of different mutations affected the CFTR protein required years of painstaking laboratory research. Every discovery was earned through thousands of experiments, each one consuming time, funding, and the efforts of countless scientists.

    A realistic, documentary-style close-up photograph inside a biomedical research laboratory. Shallow depth of field. Gloved hands holding a pipette carefully dispensing liquid into petri dishes on a stainless steel lab bench. The background is softly blurred laboratory equipment and shelving. Natural, soft white lighting. No dramatic lighting, no glowing screens, no futuristic elements. Clean, subtle, professional, editorial medical photography. Landscape orientation.

    Drug development was no different.

    Researchers would identify promising compounds, synthesize them, test them in the laboratory, modify them, and begin the process again. Most candidates failed. The few that succeeded often required more than a decade of research and billions of dollars before they ever reached patients.

    Thankfully, that work paid off.

    Today, my daughter is nineteen years old. She lives what is, for all practical purposes, a normal life. She still has cystic fibrosis. She still follows a treatment regimen every day. But she’s healthy, active, independent, and planning her future just like any other young adult.

    That’s nothing short of extraordinary.

    And while AI didn’t create those first breakthrough therapies, it’s beginning to change how the next generation of discoveries will happen.


    Artificial intelligence doesn’t replace scientific curiosity—it amplifies it.

    This is where artificial intelligence becomes genuinely exciting—not because it’s generating artwork or writing marketing copy, but because it’s helping scientists ask better questions.

    Modern AI systems can analyze enormous biological datasets in hours rather than months. They can compare thousands of genetic mutations, identify patterns that would be nearly impossible for humans to detect unaided, and predict how specific mutations alter the shape and function of proteins. Instead of relying entirely on trial and error, researchers can now use AI to prioritize the most promising hypotheses before stepping into the laboratory.

    That doesn’t replace science.

    It makes science more efficient.

    One of the most exciting developments has been AI-assisted protein modelling. Understanding exactly how a mutation changes the three-dimensional shape of a protein—and how a potential drug might restore its function—once required years of painstaking structural biology. Today, AI systems such as AlphaFold can generate remarkably accurate structural predictions in hours, allowing researchers to focus precious laboratory time where it’s most likely to produce meaningful results.

    AI is also transforming medical imaging. Researchers are using machine learning to identify subtle changes in CT scans that may indicate disease progression earlier than conventional methods. They’re studying how bacterial populations evolve inside the lungs of people with cystic fibrosis, helping predict antibiotic resistance and personalize treatments. AI is helping researchers identify better candidates for clinical trials, reducing the time required to evaluate promising therapies.

    None of these breakthroughs eliminate the need for scientists.

    They eliminate wasted effort.

    Every experiment that doesn’t need to be performed because AI helped identify a dead end means researchers can spend more time pursuing ideas with genuine potential. Every month saved in research is another month that a promising therapy could reach the people waiting for it.

    And while cystic fibrosis is one example, the same technologies are now accelerating research into cancer, Alzheimer’s disease, rare genetic disorders, antibiotic discovery, and countless other medical challenges.

    That’s a much bigger story than AI-generated artwork.

    And yet, both conversations are about the same technology.


    Technology itself is remarkably neutral.

    Electricity powers hospitals.

    It also powers electric chairs.

    The Internet connects families across continents.

    It also spreads misinformation across them.

    Encryption protects political dissidents.

    It also protects organized crime.

    Artificial intelligence belongs in exactly the same category.

    The same machine learning algorithms helping researchers discover life-saving medicines can also help militaries identify targets faster, guide autonomous drones, improve missile accuracy, or analyze satellite imagery to track troop movements. Those very same technologies can also detect incoming missile attacks, improve battlefield medicine, assist humanitarian rescue operations, strengthen cyber defenses, and protect civilian infrastructure.

    The technology hasn’t changed.

    Only the objective has.

    That’s why I don’t think AI is inherently good or inherently bad.

    I think it’s something much simpler.

    It’s a multiplier.

    Put AI in the hands of a scammer and they’ll scam more people.

    Put it in the hands of a military and they’ll build more capable weapons—or more capable defenses.

    Put it in the hands of an artist and they’ll create in entirely new ways.

    Put it in the hands of a physician or researcher, and they’ll ask bigger questions, analyze more data, and discover answers faster than they could alone.

    AI doesn’t determine the outcome.

    People do.

    The tool simply multiplies whatever intentions we bring to it.


    “The future is already here—it’s just not evenly distributed.”
    — William Gibson

    "The future is already here—it's just not evenly distributed."
— William Gibson

    If you had told me twenty years ago that one day my daughter would wake up, take a handful of pills, complete her treatments, and then go about living what is—for all practical purposes—a normal life, I would have struggled to believe you.

    That future wasn’t built by artificial intelligence alone.

    It was built by thousands of researchers, physicians, engineers, patients, and families who spent decades advancing science one careful step at a time.

    Now, for the first time, many of those same researchers have a tool that allows them to move faster than ever before.

    Artificial intelligence won’t replace human ingenuity.

    It will amplify it.

    And perhaps that’s the conversation we should be having.

    Not whether AI can generate a beautiful painting.

    Not whether it can replace a writer or an illustrator.

    Those are important discussions, and they’re worth having.

    But they aren’t the whole story.

    The quiet miracles of AI won’t be measured by the pictures it generates.

    They’ll be measured by the discoveries it accelerates, the diseases it helps us understand, and ultimately, the lives it helps us save.


    Further Reading

    1. Jumper, J. et al. (2021). Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold. Nature, 596, 583–589.
    2. Paul, D. et al. (2021). Artificial Intelligence in Drug Discovery and Development. Drug Discovery Today.
    3. De Marchis, M. et al. (2023). Machine Learning Applications in Cystic Fibrosis: A Narrative Review.
    4. Cystic Fibrosis Foundation. Research and Clinical Trials Pipeline.
    5. Nature Reviews Drug Discovery (2024). Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Biomedical Research.